May 2008

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May 13, 2008

Memoir of the millennium

Fowler

I've just noticed that The Independent too discusses political memoirs today. The author of the article, Paul Vallely, does not appear to have first-hand knowledge of all the works under discussion. Noting the sheer number of memoirs written by ministers who served under Mrs Thatcher, Vallely writes: "Yet others offer only ammunition for political tittering, such as Norman Fowler's The Minister Decides (the only thing Norman never did, quipped one wag)."

No, no, no! All connoisseurs of the genre know that the title of Lord Fowler's 1991 masterpiece is Ministers Decide. Note the plural. It is an expression of both modesty and collegiality.

I have read this volume. I have to concede that it ought never to have been commissioned; and once commissioned, it ought not to have been published. It is as enervating and trivial as posterity records. Fowler has nary a bad word for anyone. A photograph of the minister flanked by Edwina Currie and a beaming John Major symbolises the author's not really knowing what goes on around him. I should record that Fowler, a former journalist, names Martin Bell as one of his broadcasting heroes (p. 63). He also concludes with prescience: "In John Major, Margaret Thatcher had the successor she wanted. What he achieves will be different, but it will be built on the foundation of the Thatcher years."

Stuff

There was a fine piece in The Times yesterday by Rosemary Righter on the regime in Burma, and our responsibilities. She argues:

Governments with the power to help must insist on doing so, with or without the junta's co-operation - with the approval of the UN Security Council if they can, and without it if they must. Governments had the approval neither of Saddam Hussein nor the Security Council in 1991, when they airlifted aid to fleeing Kurds in northern Iraq. The idea that states can do what they please within their borders has been modified since 1945 by a growing acceptance that states have responsibilities as well as rights, and that gross violations of those responsibilities are an international concern. Forcing aid on the regime would be a risky venture; but to cite sovereignty as the reason why nothing can be done without its assent would be to let this foul regime get away with mass murder.

On a slightly wider issue of the consequences of political repression, see also David Aaronovitch's column today. The principle of sovereignty is among the most prominent causes of avoidable suffering in the world today. I shall be writing quite a lot on this subject.

In The Guardian, Stephen Pollard writes of the impact of political memoirs. What matters for memoirs is the timing. I can think of only a very few memoirs with any wider significance. Those by Denis Healey and Roy Jenkins are fine books in their own right; on a more restricted canvas, though it's a fat volume, Nigel Lawson's account of his Chancellorship is also of enduring interest.

The Berkeley economist and former Clinton administration official Brad DeLong kindly offers me critical support in the murky business of the late Ralph Miliband, Marxist theorist and minimiser of the crimes of Pol Pot. Professor DeLong has himself had cause to query the views, on another issue, of the blogger Chris Bertram, an academic at Bristol University and an impressive candidate for "the stupidest man alive crown". For reasons I explain in the comments below my post, I think that description understates the problems with Bertram's political idiosyncrasies.

Let's turn now to Britain's newest political party. There is a pertinent comment below my post of a couple of days ago on "Blair's greatest error". It reads:

Sorry to post this on a thread where it isn't relevant. But the long comments thread discussing David Lindsay, a few posts down, is now closed. I assume this is automatic, but since David had already claimed, even before it closed, that you had closed the thread yourself as an admission of defeat, I wonder if there is a way of keeping it open, or of opening another? Also, it's really funny.

We are back to David Lindsay, founder and sole member of the British People's Alliance, and contributor of long comments posted to this blog about the "genocidal vermin" who read it and others of my "filthy kind". As I understand its position, the party favours a military coup to sweep away the decadent junta at Westminster. It opposes abortion, contraception, Europe and immigration. My readers know far, far more of this nascent mass movement than I, and they have kindly provided copious details in this comments thread. As comments on this blog are automatically closed after a week, that thread has indeed come to a natural end - but it is quite funny. Accordingly, I ask its contributors to keep a close watch on our future rulers and to feel free to use the comments thread under this post for any further insights.

If I go to Mr Lindsay's blog - which appears to be all that currently exists of the British People's Alliance - I find, for example (and as I had not realised before), that the party also defends the heroic cause of biblical creationism: "Try pointing out," suggests Mr Lindsay, "that the theory of the survival of the fittest is tautologous, since the only way to spot the fittest is that they are the ones that survive."

Much to my regret, I can claim nothing other than a layman's interest and certainly no specialist knowledge in evolutionary biology. But I'm reliably informed that "it has never once happened in the history of science that a theory achieves mainstream status, only to fall apart when a clever outsider notices a simple logical oversight". The leader of Britain's newest political party is a man of conspicuous talent, then.

Class warfare

Dunwoody

John Rentoul remarks on the sheer speed of the implosion of Gordon Brown's government, while Daniel Finkelstein recalls a dispiriting precedent for the rhetoric employed in Labour's by-election campaigning: "In December 1976 the Labour Party televised a broadcast making a nakedly class based appeal. It satirised 'Algernon' a boy who went to an expensive school, who doesn't need social security and doesn't need to work.... Now all these years later the same mistake is being made again."

Labour's creation of the Hon Algernon, "born with a silver spoon in his mouth", didn't even reach the level of caricature. A caricature at least takes some genuine characteristic and magnifies it. It was fantasy to suppose that, in Britain's economic malaise of the 1970s, there was a practical course of - in the words of one policymaker who later adjusted to reality - squeezing the rich till the pips squeaked. It utterly misread social conditions. The rhetoric of class warfare does so again now. I support redistibution of income to enable the less well off to exercise autonomous choices. But there's no painless route to this; it requires transfers from modest earners.

It is probably flattering to Labour's by-election campaigning to impute some rationale to it other than a crude and desperate populism. The theme of "Tory toffs" is a partner to mawkish references to the late Gwyneth Dunwoody as the "mum" of the candidate, Tamzin Dunwoody, who is herself also a "mum". This isn't going to work, and it doesn't deserve to.

Incidentally, Daniel was, I think, 14 at the time of Labour's "Hon Algernon" broadcast. You have to be some political junkie to follow this stuff in adolescence, and then be able to recall it more than 30 years later.

Hamas and the Jews

Rantissi

"Comment is Free" publishes an article by Bassem Naeem, of the Hamas administration in Gaza, entitled "Hamas condemns the Holocaust". I think not. Hamas believes the Holocaust is a hoax concocted by international Jewry.

This is a longstanding theme of Hamas's world view, and Naeem is being disingenuous in failing to acknowledge it. The organisation's leader Abdel Aziz Rantissi, whom Israeli forces assassinated in 2004, was not reticent on this point. A few months earlier, he had written in a Hamas publication:

Many thinkers and historians have exposed the lies of the Zionists, thus becoming a target of Zionist persecution. Some have been assassinated, some arrested, and some are prevented from making a living. For example, Jewish associations and organizations have filed lawsuits against famous French philosopher Roger Garaudy, who in 1995 published his book 'The Founding Myths of Israeli Politics' in which he disproves the myth of the 'gas chambers,' saying, 'This idea is not technically possible. So far, no one has clarified how these false gas chambers worked, and what proof there is of their existence. Anyone with proof of their existence must show it.'

A pacific and equitable resolution of the Israeli-Palestine conflict is not going to be advanced by overlooking or obscuring the character of one of the protagonists. Hamas is an antisemitic, theocratic organisation wedded to the annihilation of the Jewish state. It pursues its ends by attacking Israeli civilians. These are just the facts of the matter, unfortunately.

May 11, 2008

Blair's greatest error

Matthew d'Ancona writes in The Telegraph of Labour's worsening state. Referring to the publication this week in The Times of Cherie Blair's memoirs, he identifies the central fact of Labour politics in the past 14 years:

The central fact, the dominant narrative of the Blair years, was Brown's demand for a departure date. From the moment in May 1994 when it was agreed that Gordon would step aside and give Tony a clear run at the leadership, to June 2007 when Blair finally left Number 10, this running argument consumed the two men, poisoned their relationship and snarled up day-to-day administration.

Indeed, it sometimes seemed that the Labour Government was no more than a gigantic, fractious timetabling committee with a single issue on its agenda: how soon the PM would leave. All of which was most peculiar for the rest of us to behold, given that Blair racked up three election victories, two by landslide, exceeding even Margaret Thatcher's aggregate of parliamentary majorities.

Why on earth would he resign just to give Gordon a turn, as if Number 10 were a Nintendo DS to be shared by the children? Since when was the governance of Britain organised on a rota basis? What a ridiculous way to run a country. Still, that is the way New Labour has run it.

The single greatest weakness of Labour administration has been Gordon Brown, and the single greatest mistake of Tony Blair was to allow Brown to be in the position of inflicting such damage. The agreement between them in 1994 was unprincipled, and Blair should not have adhered to it. Brown would not have beaten Blair in a leadership election in 1994; Blair should have challenged him to run. Brown's systematic disloyalty during Blair's premiership was scandalous; it ought to have been confronted. Blair, at a minimum, should have moved Brown to the Foreign Office after the 2001 election, with the clear implication that it was a demotion. Better still would have been to sack Brown from the government. Now he has attained his prime ministerial ambition, Brown has proved useless to the task and an electoral liability of record-breaking magnitude.

I hesitate to reiterate all this, week after week, only because it might appear a statement of the obvious. But it wasn't obvious enough either to Labour MPs or to political commentators while Blair was PM. Brown was typically depicted as a politician of substance, competence and intellectual weight, and his implosion has been a matter of widespread wonderment and distress (see Polly Toynbee's articles for plaintive instances). It cannot be said too often that the weakness of Brown as premier was entirely predictable from a pattern of dysfunctional conduct and a gross overestimate of his own political significance. It is of the utomost importance for Labour's prospects that Brown be replaced as leader without delay.

It's yet one more indication of the party's ramshackle state that its method of electing a leader makes that especially difficult. A responsible party of government would have a simple and unexceptionable procedure for electing a leader, with the franchise confined to MPs alone. A responsible party of government would, moreover, get rid of this peculiarly undistinguished and destructive incumbent now.

May 09, 2008

More on Miliband père

Ralph_miliband

This, I fear, is a a long but not a weighty post. It expounds a matter of policy to do with this blog.

If there is one thing that my readers are entitled to, and I believe have come to expect, it is coverage, conducted with a due sense of decorum and respect, of aged or deceased personalities of the far Left. My subjects have included the historian Eric Hobsbawm, who believes "only a limited, even nominal, use of armed coercion was necessary to maintain [the communist systems] from 1957 until 1989" - which makes you wonder what a really violent crushing of the Prague Spring would have looked like.

I have also written of the late Reuben Falber, who as Assistant General Secretary of the Communist Party of Great Britain secretly took delivery of large wads of cash from the Soviet Embassy and laundered it through the party's pension fund. More recently, I noted the death of Monty Johnstone, defender of British Communists' "justified support on the diplomatic plane for the Soviet-German Non-Aggression Pact" (i.e. cheering the Nazi-Soviet pact).

You get the idea. There are stories here worth the telling - and for some reason, the obituaries carried by The Guardian whenever one of these scoundrels shuffles off this mortal coil invariably either scurry past or miss out altogether the interesting bits. I don't wish to exaggerate the public service I provide in this respect, as it's a personal recreation as well - but there genuinely is a gap in the market for political commentary here.

In the past, when endeavouring to fill that gap, I have reliably received copious angry messages at my business email address from a blogger called Chris Bertram. I believe that Bertram, who teaches philosophy at Bristol University, was once part of the editorial board of New Left Review. Despite his long service in that political milieu, he is never clear - or at least not to me - what his objections to my treatment of it consist in. Our correspondence thus takes an unvarying form. I respond to his questions and charges as fully as I am able, and press him on what he has found exceptionable in my comments; but the best I can get out of him is that he is offended. As my regular readers will know, I find this always a feeble argument for anything, and as Bertram has never advanced beyond that critique I'm unable to meet or even understand his objections.

The last time he did this, in response to my post about the CPGB theoretician Monty Johnstone, Bertram puzzlingly copied his missive to Norman Geras with the instruction that Norman explain to me how shameful were my remarks. Norman prudently refrained from entering into the correspondence, though I should have been glad to hear an argument (as could safely have been relied upon) more cogent than the state of Bertram's sensibilities. In any event, my approach is explained in a Times column last year. Referring to comments by Christopher Hitchens concerning the Revd Jerry Falwell, I wrote: "Is there merit in the mild hypocrisy of not speaking ill of the recently deceased? Not in the case of public figures who influence policy or exercise office.... A toxic figure in life is not less so in posthumous influence."

Those elderly or deceased figures I have mentioned have fortunately not held public office. They have, though - like Jerry Falwell - led public lives geared to exhortation and influence. I should be glad if any reader were to take up the task that Bertram has eschewed, and explain what is objectionable - not "offensive" or "nasty", because those aesthetic considerations don't concern me - about critical scrutiny of such lives once they've ended. I suspect that the explanation is either sentimentality of a type that adults ought not to indulge in, or a desire to prettify political lives that are far from reputable.

I'm confirmed in this inference by the finding that Bertram's solicitude extends to those who've been dead a long time as well. You can read here a post by him referring to my remarks on the late Marxist theorist Ralph Miliband, father of the Foreign Secretary. I don't wish my readers to think me sensitive, but I take issue with Bertram's description of me as "a vicious little merchant banker". It is not technically true that I am a merchant banker, though I grant that I work in a related field.

Unfair though it would be to pin these on Bertram, his post carries a grandiloquently demented thread of 275 reader comments devoted to expounding the achievements of Soviet Communism. ("'Eliminating the kulaks as a class' clearly is not the same as 'eliminating the kulaks'," insists one defender of the heroic legacy of Josef Stalin.) Fortunately, Bertram's own indignation on Miliband's behalf is scarcely more sophisticated or reputable. He defends Miliband on the grounds that the man "didn’t appreciate how horrific the Pol Pot regime had been, or didn’t believe all the reports". Yes, that's the defence; and Bertram concludes, with reference to the paper that I linked to:

Miliband argues, correctly, that all that resulted from [Soviet] interventions was alienation from the socialist cause, and the installation of weak puppet regimes without popular legitimacy. You’d never gather that from reading Kamm’s blog, though. He presents Miliband’s attack on Soviet tankism as an apologia for massacre. That wasn’t how it would have been read at the time. In fact, it isn’t how a fair-minded person would read it now.

No careful writer makes confident assertions about how something "would have been read", without first investigating how it was in fact read. The tortuousness of Bertram's tense demonstrates that he is no careful writer, because he hasn't done this. Indeed, I don't know why I'm being so polite about a man who can regard so frivolously Miliband's dismissal of the refugee accounts from Cambodia. You don't need to take my word on this; consider instead the account of Miliband's highly sympathetic biographer, Michael Newman, in the book I cited in my post (Ralph Miliband and the Politics of the New Left, 2002). Newman is desperate to think the best of his subject, and his understatement is blackly comic in its equivocation. But he doesn't shirk the painful facts (in a footnote, p. 318):

Miliband's immediate reaction to the intervention [in Cambodia] had been to condemn the Vietnamese action and to argue that, however awful the Cambodian regime had been, there was no justification for external intervention unless it had been called for by "an authentic liberation movement". In the light of subsequent knowledge about the Pol Pot regime, this would seem an inadequate discussion of the issues but even at the time it was rather surprising. There had been reports of atrocities immediately after the seizure of power by the Khmer Rouge at the begininng of January 1975 and it was curious that Miliband treated the intervention as if "normal" rules applied. Soon after their invasion in 1979 the Vietnamese produced evidence of mass graves on a horrendous scale and in July claimed that the Pol Pot regime had murdered three million people. This was no doubt an exaggeration but authoritative sources still claim that approximately 1.7 million were killed. However, Miliband appears to have been influenced by the views of [Noam] Chomsky who published a two volume work co-authored with E.S Herman in 1979, entitled The Political Economy of Human Rights....

For many of my readers, all will now fit into place. Newman gives the briefest of expositions of Chomsky and Herman's thesis, and specifically these authors' claim that Khmer Rouge atrocities were predominantly the work of local officials rather than part of a plan by the regime. (This notorious article by Chomsky and Herman, in The Nation, 6 June 1977, speaks pointedly of "alleged Khmer Rouge atrocities" and "the extreme unreliability of refugee reports".) Newman delicately concludes: "This appeared difficult to reconcile with the evidence that emerged after the Vietnamese invasion in 1979."

Of course it was "difficult to reconcile" with evidence from long before that date too. My friend William Shawcross wrote in March 1976 of the brutality of the Khmer Rouge, in "Cambodia Under Its New Rulers", New York Review of Books. (Those who imagine John Pilger to have a record of pioneering journalistic achievement on this subject might consider how much later he was in covering it than William - not until Vietnam had ceased treating Pol Pot as an ally, in fact.) But Newman has it right, nonetheless. Newman then refers to the contemporary readership of the malevolent stupidity that so impressed Miliband - or rather to one especially acute reader, the political theorist and sociologist Steven Lukes.

Lukes wrote to Miliband on 23 October 1980 pointing out that Chomsky and Herman's treatment of Cambodia was "little short of disgraceful". He then published an article to that effect in The Times Higher Education Supplement, 7 October 1980. Newman takes up the story:

On 5 December 1980 Miliband told Lukes that he was extremely unhappy about his article and he came close to endorsing Chomsky's position. Chomsky also reasserted his views in a bitter letter to Lukes on 7 December 1980 (sending a copy to Miliband), after which Miliband wrote to Lukes again insisting that Chomsky's letter had made "a case for you to answer, given the gravity of your charges".... Lukes reasserted his position in a column in the THES on 27 March 1981 entitled "Suspending Chomsky's Disbeliefs". Making no concessions to Chomsky, he again dismissed the view that the terror was not centrally planned, argued that many of those upon whom Chomsky had relied had now changed their views, and suggested that it was up to Chomsky to do the same.

Well might Newman conclude, with that peculiar talent for genteel circumlocution:

Few would now contradict Lukes's view and Miliband's judgment in aligning his position so closely to that of Chomsky appears questionable. Without any real expertise on the area, he had understated the enormity of the crimes and endorsed a particular interpretation which appeared to minimise the responsibility of the Pol Pot regime itself.

It would be cruel to belabour the point, so I'll get it over with quickly. Recall Bertram's insistence that those reading Miliband's views at the time would have regarded them as an unexceptionable statement of opposition to Soviet tanks in Eastern Europe. If I were being generous, I'd refer to the prerogative of the blogger to make arbitrary, ahistorical and fatuous pronouncements on the basis of zero research. In the further case of my indefatigable correspondent Bertram, I'm already familiar with the inverse relationship between the passionate intensity of his convictions and the amount of knowledge invested in their formulation. But in the specific case of Bertram's presenting a disgraceful argument as something percipient and principled, I'd add a rider: the man's a fool.

A word, incidentally, on Marxist theorists, about whom one comment on my earlier post was dismissive. That isn't a view I share, even where Ralph Miliband is concerned. I have referred in print to Miliband once, in an article for The Jewish Chronicle last year. If you read it, I believe you'll find it quite generous to him. I have a certain respect for his intellectual legacy. One of his books in particular, Marxism and Politics, 1977, strikes me as valuable and lucid - even if a shade pointless in its attempt to invoke Marxist categories against insurrectionary strategies.

There are other Marxist theorists, moreover, for whom I have nothing but respect. The late pragmatist philosopher Sidney Hook, whom I quoted in this post, is the single most important intellectual influence on my politics. He lived just long enough to see the collapse of regimes in Eastern Europe whose political legitimacy he had worked tirelessly to undermine. I wish I had written to Hook while he was alive. I have exchanged views about him at length with the writer Paul Berman, who did know him and admires his work as I do. I have benefited from the friendship, scholarship and conversation of two noted Marxist thinkers of a more recent generation than Hook, Norman Geras and the late Paul Hirst. (I regret that I met Norman for the first time only after Paul had died prematurely in 2003, and I was thus not able to introduce them. There was a wonderful obituary published in The Guardian by the labour historian Ben Pimlott, who was Paul's colleague at Birkbeck College, where I had the good fortune to study under them. Ben himself died tragically young, in 2004, of leukaemia.)

But a Marxist thinker who associates with the cause of Noam Chomsky and Ed Herman in foreign affairs deserves censure. The late Ralph Miliband receives mine.

Politics, home and abroad

Thomas Ferenczi, an editor at Le Monde, contributes a piece today on the French Socialist Party's stance on the European Union:

"La nouvelle déclaration de principes du Parti socialiste, qui sera la cinquième de son histoire, confirme et accentue l'engagement européen des socialistes français. Pour la première fois, le PS se présente explicitement comme "un parti européen". Pour la première fois, il souligne qu'il agit "dans l'Union européenne". Pour la première fois, il affirme que celle-ci a été non seulement "voulue", mais aussi en partie "conçue et fondée" par lui."

There is an interesting parallel here with shifts in opinion in the British Labour Party in the late 1980s and early 1990s. Labour became very much more pro-European as the party's failures in domestic politics persisted. I am a left-wing integrationist myself, but the variant of this position that you could hear among British social democrats in the 1980s was barely coherent. There was little sense of the disicplines in economic management that membership of the European Monetary System would have required. (The French Socialists had acquired painful experience of that dilemma in government between 1981 and 1983. A massive reflationary programme sucked in imports, which necessitated successive - in the then current euphemism - "realignments" of the franc within the EMS. President Mitterrand prudently reversed course and tightened monetary policy sooner than see further devaluations.) The French Socialists' increasing consensus on "l'entreprise communautaire" as the proper arena for policy is, as much as anything, a testament to the party's weakness in domestic politics. Recalling the party's feeble and bizarre campaign for the presidency last year, I'm neither surprised nor sympathetic.

Charles Krauthammer in the Washington Post writes on the tergiversations of the Clintons' undignified and plainly unsuccessful campaign. Hillary's tack to the populist wing of the Democratic Party availed her naught:

"[G]oing left proved disastrous for Clinton. It abolished all significant policy differences between her and Obama, the National Journal's 2007 most liberal senator. On health care, for example, her attempts to turn a minor difference in the definition of universality into a major assault on Obama fell flat. With no important policy differences separating them, the contest became one of character and personality. Matched against this elegant, intellectually nimble, hugely talented newcomer, she had no chance of winning that contest."

On the same subject, Christopher Hitchens in The Mirror notes a peculiar and predictable liability to Hillary's campaign:

"It’s this amazing love of combat for its own sake that has won her so much grudging respect even from many Republicans. However, just take a look at the speech and notice the lugubrious, white-haired, red-faced, scowling and bored figure standing so listlessly just behind her. How can a campaign once renowned for slickness and spin have permitted such a horrid spectre at the feast? And this dreary, resentful and shambolic person was once himself described as the country’s first black president. If his wife loses we shall know why."

Meanwhile, at home, this is a prime minister lacking even the vestiges of authority and respect, with inevitable catastrophic consequences for Labour's support. I'm sorry to bang on about this, but the man was never suited to the highest office. It should not be surprising that he has brought the party to a position where he might reasonably envy the electoral standing of Michael Foot. Labour won't recover from this till Gordon Brown's titular leadership is over.

May 07, 2008

Israel's anniversary

Bengurion

This week marks the 60th anniversary of the birth of the state of Israel. There is a fine article in the Washington Post today by Ambassador Richard Holbrooke on the divisions within the Truman administration over recognition of the Jewish state. As Holbrooke tells it, the issue was the most serious division between President Truman and Secretary of State George Marshall. Truman prevailed, and the United States became the first country to recognise the new state.

Holbrooke concludes:

Israel was going to come into existence whether or not Washington recognized it. But without American support from the very beginning, Israel's survival would have been at even greater risk. Even if European Jewry had not just emerged from the horrors of World War II, it would have been an unthinkable act of abandonment by the United States. Truman's decision, although opposed by almost the entire foreign policy establishment, was the right one -- and despite complicated consequences that continue to this day, it is a decision all Americans should recognize and admire.

This is well said. In the late 1940s, the US - as is still not widely understood - was militarily enfeebled and might easily have reverted to isolationism. President Truman's decisions in the essential issues of postwar diplomacy were extraordinarily prescient. This one was a straightforward moral case; so is the United States' continuing commitment to Israel's security.

My position on this is not complex. I have no interest in the fortunes of Judaism but a great interest in the resilience of persecuted peoples. There is no people more historically persecuted than the Jews, and a Jewish state is their guarantor. It also represents the intrusion of Western constitutional principles into a region where these are not widely observed. Though there are organised religious extremists in the Israeli political system, they have never attained power - unlike, say, their counterparts in Iran.

I am no uncritical supporter of Israeli government policies. Some - such as the attempt to implement regime change in Lebanon in the 1980s - I have strongly opposed. I hope for, without expecting any time soon, a pacific two-state territorial settlement of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. But the fact and the independence - not merely, in the demeaning phrase grudgingly advanced by her enemies, the "existence"- of Israel, a Jewish state and a vibrant democracy, are causes for celebration.

May 06, 2008

Miliband père et fils

Ralph_miliband

On the Spectator "Coffee House" blog, Matthew d'Ancona notes the "beauty contest" of Labour ministers and ex-ministers jostling for an undeclared and - unfortunately for the party - as yet non-existent contest for the leadership. This is a government in decay and not only disarray. I was particularly interested, though, in d'Acona's referring to a lecture by David Miliband in honour of his father, the late Marxist theorist Ralph Miliband. It takes place tomorrow under the auspices of the LSE.

Ralph Miliband's best known works are The State in Capitalist Society and Parliamentary Socialism. I wrote a post about him, which I later adapted for The Jewish Chronicle, last summer, when David Miliband was appointed Foreign Secretary. Because Ralph Miliband's memory merits greater critical scrutiny than it is likely to receive from political correspondents reporting his son's lecture, I'm extracting a relevant portion of that post. It follows.

The late Marxist theorist Ralph Miliband, is a man for whom I have a certain intellectual respect leavened with real contempt. See, most particularly, his essay for the annual Socialist Register in 1980 entitled “Military Intervention and Socialist Internationalism” - anticipating an issue that has much exercised the Left more recently.

Miliband argues: “In socialist terms, the overthrow of a regime from outside, by military intervention, and without any measure of popular involvement, must always be an exceedingly doubtful enterprise, of the very last resort.”

You might think, with the failures of our intervention in Iraq in mind, that he’s stating a mere truism. But if you read the essay, you’ll see that he’s not. The examples he has in mind, and discusses at length, are the then recent military interventions by Tanzania to overthrow Idi Amin in Uganda and by Vietnam to overthrow the Pol Pot regime in Cambodia. Miliband considers them alongside the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan in 1979, which he objects to on the grounds that it “has obviously provided a very powerful reinforcement to the worst reactionaries in the Western camp”. You have to believe me – and you can check if you don’t – that he treats the overthrow of Pol Pot as analogously objectionable:

"No doubt, a pliant regime now exists in Phnom Penh. But it lacks legitimacy and requires the support of a Vietnamese army of occupation. The enterprise has reinforced secular suspicions of Vietnamese designs upon Kampuchea. Like the Russians in Afghanistan, the Vietnamese have been drawn into a permanent struggle with Kampuchean guerillas, with the usual accompaniment of repression and the killing of innocent civilians. The invasion has also weakened Vietnam's international position, and strengthened reactionary forces in the region and beyond. Here too, it does not seem unreasonable to ask 'What kind of security is this?'"

A few years ago a highly sympathetic biography entitled Ralph Miliband and the Politics of the New Left, 2002, rose and fell without trace (despite Tony Benn's prediction in the foreword that it would "help a whole new generation of socialists to appreciate the unique role that Ralph played in the progressive politics of the period"). Even the author, Professor Michael Newman of London Metropolitan University, conceded (p. 294) that Miliband's essay "was flawed because it understated the atrocities of the Pol Pot regime and the justification for intervention following its crimes against humanity." And to be fair to him, Newman - daintily but not evasively - identifies the intellectual origins of that "flawed" position (p. 318, n. 124):

"... Miliband's judgement in aligning his position so closely to that of [Noam] Chomsky appears questionable. Without any real expertise on the area, he had understated the enormity of the crimes and endorsed a particular interpretation which appeared to minimise the responsibility of the Pol Pot regime itself. It is not entirely clear why he took this position, but three factors were probably particularly important. The first was the depth of his condemnation of American policy in Indochina: having opposed the war against Vietnam so bitterly, he may have had a predisposition to hold the US responsible for all the crimes in the region. Secondly, there was the perennial problem that the Right was exploiting the crimes of the Khymer [sic] Rouge regime as part of its general anti-communist propaganda and he was probably reacting against this. And, thirdly, he was trying to develop a general theoretical argument against socialist regimes intervening in the way that the Vietnamese had done and his case would have become more difficult to sustain had he accepted that the [sic] Pol Pot had carried out crimes against humanity on a massive scale."

Amazingly enough, Newman goes on to say that "Miliband's general points [in his essay] were important and have considerable relevance for the post-Cold War interventions by Nato". In my view, a general argument whose practical application involves denying the atrocities of the worst regime since the Third Reich can reasonably be dismissed out of hand.

Bear in mind that it is the Foreign Secretary, and not I, who is raising the subject of Ralph Miliband's political legacy. I'm not attacking someone's late father for gratuitous reasons. Ralph Miliband should be considered in the round, in all his spectacular imperfection.

Hillary and Iran

Natanz

I commented the other day on Hillary Clinton's answer to a question about a hypothetical Iranian nuclear attack on Israel. Senator Clinton had declared: "If I'm the president, we will attack Iran... we would be able to totally obliterate them."

In my view, Senator Clinton's comments were reasonable and unexceptionable. I trust her position on national security, and I should have been worried if she'd said anything else. But it appears that, in the UK press at least, there are commentators determined to present her comments as "Incendiary talk". I had a brief exchange today with one such objector, a guest contributor to The Independent's "Open House" blog, Anthony Painter. I don't know Painter's writings (a criticism of me, not of him, as he writes for Tribune, which I ought to follow more closely), but his criticism of Senator Clinton's position is familiar to the point of being hackneyed.

When asked on ABC News about what she would do if Iran were to launch a nuclear attack on Israel, Hillary Clinton was explicit, “…we would be able to totally obliterate them and those people who run Iran need to know that.”

Forget the fact that the latest CIA National Intelligence Estimate on Iran concludes that the Iranians have suspended their nuclear weapons programme.

I responded to Painter just in the comments thread of that blog, but because what I said appeared to be new to him, I'll repeat it here. If you're seriously going to cite the NIE conclusions, published last December, as evidence of the non-threatening character of Iran's nuclear programme, then there are two points you are duty-bound to add.

First, as was not widely noted at the time, the NIE's definition of what constituted Iran's nuclear programme was heavily circumscribed. In a footnote, the authors commented: 'For the purposes of this Estimate, by “nuclear weapons program” we mean Iran’s nuclear weapon design and weaponization work and covert uranium conversion-related and uranium enrichment-related work; we do not mean Iran’s declared civil work related to uranium conversion and enrichment.'

To draw conclusions about Iran's nuclear programme but explicitly leave out of the discussion Iran's uranium enrichment activities is some caveat. To refer to the enrichment facility at Natanz as "civil work" is question-begging. There is no need for that facility at Natanz or for the heavy-water plant at Arak - before a single reactor has come into service - if Iran's nuclear programme is intended for purely civil purposes. Other countries that have reactors, such as Sweden, don't seek the capability to enrich uranium, but buy fuel more cheaply on the open market.

Secondly, it isn't just my view that this matters. It's the view of Admiral Michael McConnell, the director of the National Intelligence Council - the body that produced the NIE. On 5 February, only a couple of months after publication of the NIE's conclusions, McConnell testified to the Senate Intelligence Committee. The transcript is here; on page 32, you'll find this exchange between McConnell and Senator Evan Bayh of Indiana (my emphasis):

BAYH: Director, I don't agree with the aspersions that were cast upon the quality of the work of your people in the article that Senator Whitehouse referred to, but I do think there have been -- the work has been mischaracterized in the public domain, as you were pointing out. And it's had some unfortunate consequences. As a matter of fact, it may very well have made it more difficult to achieve the result that our nation was hoping for, which was to find a way to end the Iranian nuclear program without resorting to force. It's made diplomacy much more difficult because of the way this was received around the world, including by the Iranians, the Russians, the Chinese and others. You just mentioned that if you had to do it over again without the heat of the moment, some time to reflect, you would have changed a couple of things. What would you have changed?

MCCONNELL: I think I would change the way that we describe [the] nuclear program; I mean, put it up front, a little diagram, what are the component parts so that the reader could quickly grasp that a portion of it, I would argue, maybe even at [sic] least significant portion, was halted and there are other parts that continue.

That is a remarkably candid admission. What the NIE dealt with was, according to the man who presented it to the Senate Committee, a portion of the programme and "maybe" the least significant such portion at that. It's worth noting that our government saw this commendably quickly last December. In an article in the Financial Times on 10 December, David Miliband wrote:

There are three key elements to a nuclear weapon - the fissile material, the missile itself and the process of weaponising the fissile material for the missile. The US National Intelligence Estimate on Iran's nuclear programme published this week suggests that Iran has put work on the last of these elements on hold. If so, good. But Iran is still pursuing the other two elements, in particular an enrichment programme that has no apparent civilian application, but which could produce fissile material for a nuclear weapon, despite demands to stop from the United Nations Security Council and the International Atomic Energy Agency.

The Foreign Secretary was right on this. Every time you see someone in the press invoking the NIE's conclusions on Iran's nuclear programme, you should bear in mind the two points I've stated. Iran's nuclear programme may just be the most important issue in international politics today. No discussion of it is properly informed without noting what the NIE and the director of National Intelligence have said in full.

Iran is an extremist regime but not a totalitarian one. It responds to pressure. Unlike the unstable leadership of North Korea, the mullahs have tried to give the impression (often deceitfully) of adhering to the NPT regime. It is essential they get the message that there will be severe diplomatic costs to continuing with a uranium enrichment programme unrelated to civil applications. The British government has this right. So does the French government. I have no doubt that Senators McCain and Clinton get it too. I wish others did.